The Future of WebSite Ranking
Mel Strocen
The recent shakeup in Google's search results, which set the SEO
(search engine optimization) community buzzing and saw tens of
thousands of webmasters watch their site ranking plummet, was in
many ways inevitable. Almost all SEO companies and most savvy
webmasters had a fairly good handle on what Google considered
important. And since SEO, by definition, is the art of
manipulating website ranking (not always with the best interests
of searchers in mind), it was only a matter of time until Google
decided to make some changes.
If you've been asleep at the SEO switch, here are a few links to
articles and forums that have focused on the recent changes at
Google:
Articles:
http://www.sitepronews.com/archives/2003/dec/1prt.html
http://www.searchengineguide.com/lloyd/2003/1125_bl1.html
http://www.searchenginejournal.com/index.php?cat=1
http://www.accordmarketing.com/tid/archive/google-update-florida.
html
Forums:
http://www.webmasterworld.com/forum3/
http://www.jimworld.com/apps/webmaster.forums/action::topiclist/f
orum::google/
http://www.searchguild.com/viewforum.php?f=1&sid=3d5d777a7a9c7dda
31622896015f733a
To date, most of the commentary has been predictable, ranging
from the critical and analytical to the speculative.
Here's a typical example from one of our SiteProNews readers:
"I'm not sure what has happened to Google's vaunted algorithm,
but searches are now returning unrelated junk results as early
as the second page and even first page listings are a random
collection of internal pages (not index pages) from minor
players in my industry (mostly re-sellers) vaguely related to my
highly-focused keyword search queries."
So, what is Google trying to accomplish? As one author put it,
Google has a "democratic" vision of the Web. Unfortunately for
Google and the other major search engines, those with a grasp of
SEO techniques were beginning to tarnish that vision by stacking
the search result deck in favor of their websites.
Search Engine Optimization or Ranking Manipulation?
Author and search engine expert, Barry Lloyd commented as
follows: "Google has seen their search engine results
manipulated by SEOs to a significant extent over the past few
years. Their reliance on PageRank™ to grade the authority of
pages has led to the wholesale trading and buying of links with
the primary purpose of influencing rankings on Google rather
than for natural linking reasons."
Given Google's dominance of search and how important ranking
well in Google is to millions of websites, attempts at rank
manipulation shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone. For many,
achieving a high site ranking is more important than the hard
work it takes to legitmately earn a good ranking.
The Problem with Current Site Ranking Methods
There will always be those who are more interested in the end
result than on how they get there and site ranking that is based
on site content (links, keywords, etc.) and interpreted by
ranking algorithms will always be subject to manipulation. Why?
Because, for now, crawlers and algorithms lack the intelligence
to make informed judgements on site quality.
A short while ago, author, Mike Banks Valentine published an
article entitled "SEO Mercilessly Murdered by Copywriters!"
(http://www.sitepronews.com/archives/2003/nov/21.html). The
article rightly pointed out SEO's focus on making text and page
structure "crawler friendly". Other SEO authors have written at
great length about the need for "text, text, text" in page body
content as well as in Meta, Heading, ALT, and Link tags. They
are all correct and yet they are all missing (or ignoring) the
point which is that the "tail is wagging the dog". Search
engines are determining what is relevant, not the people using
those engines. Searchers are relegated to the role of engine
critics and webmasters to being students of SEO.
SEO manipulation will continue and thrive as long as search
engines base their algorithms on page and link analysis. The
rules may change, but the game will remain the same.
Therein lies the problem with all current search engine ranking
algorithms. SEO's will always attempt to position their sites at
the top of search engine results whether their sites deserve to
be there or not, and search engines will continue to tweak their
algorithms in an attempt to eliminate SEO loopholes. If there is
a solution to this ongoing battle of vested interests, it won't
come from improving page content analysis.
Incorporating User Popularity into Ranking Algorithms The future
of quality search results lies in harnessing the opinions of the
Internet masses - in other words, by tying search results and
site ranking to User Popularity. Google's "democratic" vision of
the Web will never be achieved by manipulating algorithm
criteria based on content. It will only be achieved by factoring
in what is important to people, and people will always remain
the best judge of what that is. The true challenge for search
engines in the future is how to incorporate web searcher input
and preferences into their ranking algorithms.
Website ranking based on user popularity - the measurement of
searcher visits to a site, pages viewed, time viewed, etc. -
will be far less subject to manipulation and will ensure a more
satisfying search experience. Why? Because web sites that
receive the kiss of approval from 10,000, 100,000 or a million
plus surfers a month are unlikely to disappoint new visitors.
Although some websites might achieve temporary spikes in
popularity through link exchanges, inflated or false claims,
email marketing, pyramid schemes, etc., these spikes would be
almost impossible to sustain over the long-term. As Lincoln said
"You can fool some of the people all the time. You can fool all
the people some of the time. But you can't fool all the people
all the time." Any effective ranking system based on surfer
input will inevitably be superior to current systems.
To date, none of the major search engines have shown a serious
interest in incorporating user popularity into their ranking
algorithms. As of this writing, ExactSeek
(http://www.exactseek.com) is the only search engine that has
implemented a site ranking algorithm based on user popularity.
Resistance to change, however, is not the only reason user data
hasn't made its way into ranking algorithms. ExactSeek's new
ranking algorithm was made possible only as a result of its
partner arrangement with Alexa Internet, one of the oldest and
largest aggregator's of user data on the Web. Alexa has been
collecting user data through its toolbar (downloaded over 10
million times) since 1997 and is currently the only web entity
with a large enough user base to measure site popularity and
evaluate user preferences in a meaningful way.
The Challenges Facing User Popularity Based Ranking
1. The Collection Of User Data: In order for web user data to
play a significant role in search results and site ranking, it
would need to be gathered in sufficient volume and detail to
accurately reflect web user interests and choices. The surfing
preferences of a few million toolbar users would be meaningless
when applied to a search engine database of billions of web
pages. Even Alexa, with its huge store of user data, is only
able to rank 3 to 4 million websites with any degree of
accuracy.
2. Privacy: The collection of user data obviously has privacy
implications. Privacy concerns have become more of an issue in
recent years and could hinder any attempt to collect user data
on a large scale. The surfing public would need to cooperate in
such an endeavor and be persuaded of the benefits.
3. Interest: Web search continues to grow in popularity with
more than 80% of Internet users relying on search engines to
find what they need. However, with the exception of site owners
who have a vested interest in site ranking, most web searchers
have not expressed any serious dissatisfaction with the overall
quality of search results delivered by the major engines.
Harnessing the cooperation and active participation of this
latter and much larger group would be difficult, if not
impossible.
The future of web search and website ranking belongs in the
hands of all Internet users, but whether it ends up there
depends on how willing they are to participate in that future.
About the author:
Mel Strocen is CEO of the Jayde Online Network of websites and
the founder of the Independent Search Engine & Directory Network
(http://www.isedn.org). The Jayde network currently consists of
15 websites, including ExactSeek.com (http://www.exactseek.com)
and SiteProNews.com (http://www.sitepronews.com).
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